The Weekly Validation
May 26, 2025
No hype. Just what happened—and why it matters.

📊 Markets This Week.  
A positive week across the board this week, after Bitcoin notched a new all-time-high of $111,970.17.
Bitcoin (BTC)
$109,942.41
(+5.0%)
Ethereum (ETH)
$2,556.42
(+3.9%)
Solana (SOL)
$176.76
(+8.2%)

🏛️ Big Banks Are Launching a Stablecoin—While Congress Prepares to Legalize It
A group of U.S. banks—including JPMorgan, Citigroup, and BNY Mellon—are in discussions about backing a new stablecoin. That news dropped the same week the GENIUS Act, a key stablecoin regulation bill, passed a Senate procedural vote (WSJ Coverage).
🧠 Why It Matters:
  • The regulatory greenlight is blinking. The GENIUS Act would give banks the legal clarity they need to issue regulated stablecoins—something that’s been in limbo for years. Banks are moving quick to compete with Tether and Circle (which is set to IPO soon, while simultaneously entertaining acquisition bids from Ripple and Coinbase).
🔥 Hot Take
  • There has been no announcement yet regarding which chain(s) will be powering the stablecoins. Many of these banks previously had pilot projects in the works for several years, each with different starting scopes and objectives. Something to keep a very close eye on. Whichever chains can capture stablecoin liquidity will go a long way in becoming the dominant market player. Currently Ethereum has about 50% of all stablecoins.

🤠 Texas Establishes a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve
Texas just passed a bill creating an official state-owned Bitcoin reserve—putting BTC on the same playing field as cash and gold for managing public finances. (📚 Read more)
🧠 Why it Matters:
  • This is the third U.S. state to pass similar bills. And it won’t be the last. Bitcoin is now entering the conversation as a treasury asset at the state level.
  • A possible game-theoretic trigger. As more jurisdictions accumulate BTC, pressure will mount on others to follow—so they’re not left behind.
🔥 Hot Take
  • These bills soften the ground for the BITCOIN Act, a federal bill which would have the US government purchase ~5% of the total Bitcoin supply (approx. 1M bitcoin) in a budget neutral fashion. President Trump has signaled support for the bill, but it is not expected to have bipartisan support. Should states adopt similar strategies, and if they are successful, the odds of the BITCOIN Act passing may increase.
  • However, unlike the BITCOIN ACT, Texas’ bill has no requirement that the reserve actually buy any bitcoin. Whether this is a serious intention, or just political pandering - only time will tell.

🧮 New Forecast: $427 Billion Could Flow Into Bitcoin by 2026
A research report from UTXO Management and Bitwise forecasts that by the end of 2026, over $426 billion in institutional capital will flow into Bitcoin from:
  • Public companies ($117B)
  • Public companies ($117B)
  • Wealth management platforms ($120B)
  • Nation-states and U.S. states ($180B+)

🧐 Wait, What Are We Talking About?
This section breaks down key terms for newer investors trying to make sense of it all.
  • Stablecoin: A digital dollar. It’s a cryptocurrency that stays pegged to $1, making it useful for payments, remittances, and trading without price swings.
  • GENIUS Act: A proposed U.S. law that would regulate stablecoins—basically creating rules for banks and fintechs to issue them legally and safely.
  • Ethereum (ETH): A blockchain like Bitcoin, but designed for more complex applications. Think of it as programmable money—and the infrastructure layer for most stablecoins.
  • Bitcoin Reserve: A pool of BTC held by a government (like Texas) as a strategic asset—kind of like a digital version of gold in a treasury vault.
  • Institutional Inflows: When large entities like banks, pensions, or sovereign funds buy into crypto. These flows are often slow to start, but massive when they come.

🧠 Foundational Read of the Week
Nobody Understands Bitcoin—and That’s OK
By Jameson Lopp
“Bitcoin isn’t meant to be fully understood. It’s meant to be used, tested, questioned—and endured.”
Jameson Lopp is a well known and respected expert in the Bitcoin space. His essay this week is a timely reminder that Bitcoin’s value isn’t about perfect comprehension. It’s about long-term conviction.

Thank you for reading this week’s issue.  Is there something you want to see more of? I’d love your opinions.
Don’t speculate.  Validate.  
—Validator Digital
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